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Morgan / Henrion / Obnrion

Uncertainty

A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis

Medium: Buch
ISBN: 978-0-521-36542-0
Verlag: Cambridge University Press
Erscheinungstermin: 28.02.2007
Lieferfrist: bis zu 10 Tage
The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.

Produkteigenschaften


  • Artikelnummer: 9780521365420
  • Medium: Buch
  • ISBN: 978-0-521-36542-0
  • Verlag: Cambridge University Press
  • Erscheinungstermin: 28.02.2007
  • Sprache(n): Englisch
  • Auflage: 6. Auflage 2007
  • Produktform: Gebunden, HC gerader Rücken kaschiert
  • Gewicht: 718 g
  • Seiten: 348
  • Format (B x H x T): 157 x 235 x 25 mm
  • Ausgabetyp: Kein, Unbekannt

Autoren/Hrsg.

Autoren

Morgan, M. Granger

Morgan, Millett Granger

Henrion, Max

Obnrion, Max

Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.